Wednesday, April 28, 2010

ZOMG ahhhhhsht is a nit and super duper exploitable

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Image

saw flop

BB ($200.30)
UTG ($102.65)
ahhhhhhh (UTG+1) ($140.50)
MP1 ($104.60)
MP2 ($108.40)
CO ($100)
Button ($123.30)
SB ($102)

Preflop
ahhhhhhh is UTG+1 with AImage, 10Image1 foldahhhhhhh bets $3, MP1 calls $3, 5 folds
Flop: ($7.50) AImage, 5Image, AImage (2 players)
ahhhhhhh checks, 
MP1 bets $6, ahhhhhhh calls $6

Turn: ($19.50) 4Image (2 players)
ahhhhhhh checks, MP1 bets $17, ahhhhhhh calls $17
River: ($53.50) 8Image (2 players)
ahhhhhhh checks, 
MP1 bets $78.60 (All-In)
Total pot: $53.50


This entry is just going to be pure strat (per request one of my amazing readers). This hand took place during a 12 tabling session as normal, and i had been running my normal semi tight 14vpip aggressive 11pfr. I dont always open A 10 from ep, but i just kinda felt like it for some reason. Maybe i hadnt played a hand in awhile, or whatever the reason, i open my standard 3x and shit! This is a reg, i dont run a hud but i recognize him as tight aggressive, probably a winner (i looked after the hand and my read was right)....so right off the bat i gotta hit the shit outta this flop, two pair, trips, pair/draw, something beautiful. 



HU to the flop is nice and BOOM, right? I mean i flopped trips. Now i have to think, what is a tight aggressive regs range to call an utg +1 open. Obv almost all pp's are in there, i think AJo+, A9s+, some broadway combos maybe, a few sc's maybe. Broadway combos and sc's are pretty light tbh and i dont think in ep a tight winning reg is calling another tight winning reg quite that wide often, but they are in there. So now i have to think how do i get the most money out of that range (not to mention control the pot for when im behind the hands that have me beat in his range) For this reason i check, its not that im scared of his range or even remotely think im behind at this point. I just think that im going to get him to fire all his pp's and bluffs here *note that there are not many reasonable draws on that flop* and he obliges by betting. At this point there is no value in raising, if he has bluffs/pp's he folds, if he repops or calls im oop and in a pretty shitty spot vs his range that would repop or call. So i just call


The turn is a brick, i mean zomg 23 and 55 got there. Ok if 55 got there i set myself up and oopsy daisy. But 23 from an ep open/call is just very unlikely. So still his range is about the same. At this point i think he will fire 2 bullets fairly frequently with hands i beat, as well as hands that beat me obv. So the check here is for value and pot control again. *notice how shitty it is to play hands oop, which is precisely why opening dominated hands from ep sux* When he fires again here it smells of value, just the bet sizing is valueish to me. Granite he could be vbetting A9, but probably not firing a 3rd time with it. So i just call again. Weak poker ftw obv, but in this case i think im maximizing value and controlling the pot for when im behind. If he had checked back im value betting the river all day, everyday, and twice on sundays. In this case i probably value bet 11 or 12 on the river to get some really big time crying calls. 


The river is def a brick, and since he fired again on the turn i have two reasonable options. 1) I can blocker/vbet this spot or 2) i can ck and call most bets. I think rarely somebody is going to throw out a 1/2 - 2/3 bet here with bluffs and A9, but thats really all i beat, i just think it gets bet enough to make the call. Though at that point a call is really a crying call by me. I dont like blocker betting because it makes me over think at these stakes tbh. When Ive played bigger games i will often blocker bet to induce a shove, but at 100nl i think its a good mix of people who know to shove blocker bets, but not quite enough to blocker bet induce bluffs. So id rather just ck/call.......until he over ships the river. It took some thinking but really i beat almost nothing. If there was a flush draw on the flop i could see calling here, because missed draws will often over ship/3barrel, but rarely will people, especially regs just 3barrel shove with air which is what hed have to have to be bluff shoving since no real draws were there to chase. Id go as far to say that AJ and 50/50 AQ dont shove here. 


Its a sick spot, but i think long term, given the read i had on this villian, its a way +ev fold. It sux but sometimes u gotta lay it down and if u got bluffed boohoo next hand.


Gl at the tables


Mr. Sht

3 comments:

  1. GRANITE.. lol I dont play cash or know much strat but I really like the line you took on that hand

    ReplyDelete
  2. its not a clear spot for sure, but the +ev that may be gained is just to much variance for my liking. And tbh i doubt if there is any +ev in it at all.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I am going to triple barrel bluff you @ 1/2. And the best part is if you fold, I'll tell you I had the nuts. If you call, I'll ask for $100 back.

    ReplyDelete