Bueller? Bueller?

Anybody still with me after that lovely week of bets?

Every bettor has weeks like this and after how hot we had started it was only a matter of time until something like this happened. In order to be a winning sports bettor you need to win 53% of your bets. The best sports bettors in the world can hit at 56 or 57%. We were running at 68% which I have been saying was unsustainable so it was only a matter of time before regression hit us hard. Would I have rather had 5 weeks of 2 wins, 3 losses? Of course, but one thing I have learned in my many ventures into multiple facets of gambling is its all about the streak. We had a nice streak of steady winning with some big weeks in there and now hopefully we got the losing streak out of the way.

Tampa Bay +3.5 @ Tennessee - QB controversy in Tennessee? I think these teams are about even to be honest but the Titans may be overrated from their semi hot start and Tampa might still have some value as every time they get something going the schedule really hits them hard. Tampa is one of the youngest teams in the NFL, they have a young QB, and they missed the preseason camps etc that are vital to building that chemistry they seem to be lacking. Given that school of thought, the Bucs should start to gel, start to get that chemistry, and start to cover some spreads if not win outright as a dog a few times.

Detroit +6 vs Green Bay - I'm pretty sure this is my stubborn idiot gambler side that is all emotional decisions and has nothing to do with facts. Green Bay has to lose one right? I mean they have been flirting with losing the last few weeks (except for the one time i bet against them and gave the Vikings 14 obviously). Detroit can/does pressure the QB with that sick D-Line. Detroit can score with anybody and the Packers are looking vulnerable. Short week for the Packers going on the road in a big division game @ a hostile environment.

Dallas -7 vs Miami - The theme of this week is stubbornness. Yes I know Dallas is always overvalued because the public LOVES to bet them. Yes I know Miami is looking pretty good lately. Yes I know I just got smoked by Miami last week when I thought the Bills weren't a pos team. Yes I am betting Dallas anyway.   I still don't believe in Miami and they are traveling to Dallas on 4 days rest. Remember what happened to the Jets @ Broncos on 4 days rest? Always take the home team in these scenarios and in this instance its the home team and the better team.

I want to bet the 3 turkey day games but i just cant bring myself to bet my favorite team, so i will be cashing the two early game tickets and then eating turkey, drinking beer, and passing out while i watch the Niners on thanksgiving.

Pittsburgh -10.5 @ K.C. - I'm a bit torn here.....K.C. has looked BAD lately and they have Palko at QB and the Steelers are coming off a bye. Short'ish week as KC just played on Monday night.....I hate to lay 10.5 when KC is at home but the Steelers should just murder the Chiefs here.

Chargers -6.5 vs Tebownites - And here we go again....I refuse to believe the Chargers are a bad team. I also refuse to believe the Broncos can keep winning with 0 productivity out of Tebow until the last 5 minutes of games. I mean this Bronco defense is just not that good and the Chargers have the players to put up some point and force Tebow into playing make believe like hes an NFL QB. If the Chargers can score early (and remember while Norv Turner is a horrid coach, hes a great offensive coordinator) the Chargers destroy Christianity....I mean the Broncos. 

Last Week: 0-5-1
Season: 26-17-2